Philip Tetlock
The prophet who is out of date
Superforecasting promised to make a science of prediction but failed to predict its own demise
Most Read
Grooming gangs and the truth
We should not give ammunition to deniers of the grooming gangs scandal
Why has Keir Starmer been so unpopular?
He was the perfect embodiment of a failing system
Babies need women
Leaving children with only men who are not their parents is foolish and dangerous
Stop ignoring the Islamisation of our democracy
The British state is bending to Islamism, not attempting to defeat it
Dismantle the infrastructure of censoriousness
Digital technology and private intelligence are bolstering cultural censoriousness in universities
Paean to a green and pleasant land
The finest living example of that perennial English type, the countryman-writer
Soft-Play Britain
Britain’s governing class talks of growth and grandeur but focuses on planters and paint schemes
Brave new world or fools’ paradise?
For Dubai’s quarter of a million British expats, the Iran war is a mere blip in a luxurious lifestyle
Herodotus and the birth of enquiry
Before there were historians, there was Herodotus — a wandering Greek determined to discover why civilisations rise and fall
Stop selling sexism
Banning strip clubs might sound unrealistic but it is the right thing to do
Can we get removals right?
Deporting illegal migrants is a lot more difficult than promising to deport them
The Middle Kingdom and the middle powers
China’s clash with Western power shattered its civilisational self-image. Europe is heading for a similar reckoning
No bullshit government
Tom Jones grills the shadow minister for
policy renewal about the plans of a
future Tory administration
Dear Prudence
A reflection on the Tory Party’s historic suspicion of interventionism
